Modeling Pedestrian Presence Probability on Signalized Crosswalks for the Safety Assessment Considering Crosswalk Length and Signal Timing

Quantifying effects of crosswalk length and signal timing on pedestrians’ presence position and timing is an important requirement for evaluating the probability of conflict. It can be utilized to provide a rational safety assessment and improve existing operational policies at signalized intersections. This study investigates the effects of crosswalk length and pedestrian green time on the spatiotemporal probability of pedestrian presence. It was found that the longer pedestrian green time and crosswalk length leads to the wider distribution of pedestrian presence probability. In addition, a surrogate safety measure for assessing pedestrian safety is proposed by utilizing the pedestrian presence probability model.